Technology is forcing significant changes in Asia's commercial markets.
In 2018, APAC real estate funds and institutional investors are expected to lead investment activity. for sale apartments
According to CBRE's 2018 Asia Pacific Real
Estate Market Outlook Report, the commercial real estate market in Asia Pacific
will be increasingly characterized by evolving business conditions,
technological innovation's rising impact, and occupiers' demand for a better
user experience. Investors can refine their investment strategies to best take
advantage of evolving occupier demands in the area as a result of strong market
changes.
"With the age of yield compression
coming to an end, income growth is expected to become the primary driver of
capital growth. Investors would need to employ strategies that take advantage
of rising rental cycles in specific markets while also reinforcing an emphasis
on asset management as a means of boosting rental income "CBRE Asia
Pacific's Chief Executive Officer, Steve Swerdlow, said.
As a result of changing market conditions,
CBRE expects occupiers to continue to reconfigure office portfolios to include
a mix of core premises (owned or leased) and flexible accommodation (co-working
or shared) in 2018. Companies will concentrate on more advanced organizational
design and management in their core premises, such as incorporating
Activity-based Working and providing fitness facilities and other amenities,
with user experience as the next major workplace trend. Companies will
increasingly use co-working space in the realm of open space due to the
versatility it provides in terms of lease terms and duration, as well as cost
savings and opportunities for collaboration and innovation.
In addition, the adoption of technological
advances in the workplace will continue to gain traction. As the battle for
talent heats up, the workplace and customer interface will play a bigger role
in businesses' efforts to recruit and retain top talent.
"In the business environment of the
country, the power balance is changing. Companies are incorporating more
versatility and agility into their corporate real estate strategies to ensure
that they can react quickly to a constantly evolving external climate. As a
result of broader market changes, user experience in the workplace and as a
customer will play a more influential role and become a more prominent priority
for occupiers "CBRE Asia Pacific's Head of Research, Dr Henry Chin, said.
The retail sector in the area will continue
to undergo significant structural changes. According to CBRE, rivalry between
offline and online marketplaces is leveling off, as retailers see opportunities
to gain a competitive edge by developing and implementing successful
omni-channel strategies. Increasing the use of technology, such as click-and-collect
services and the distribution of in-store transactions, is one example.
Alternative models, such as pop-up shops or
festivals, as well as flagship stores with experiential elements, will become
more critical factors for retailers in attracting customers. Landlords will
place a greater emphasis on retailtainment and attracting high-impact tenants
who can boost foot traffic and generate publicity.
As a result, third-party logistics and
online retailers would profit from retailers' embrace of omni-channel
strategies. Operating scale is important for e-commerce companies as they
continue to grow to new locations in order to gain market share. Leading
e-commerce companies in China are seeking backwards integration by assuming
control of their logistics and distribution operations.
Increasing customer demand for faster
delivery times is expected to increase the importance of last-mile delivery and
increase the demand for urban logistics space. Increased competition would
force logistics occupiers to introduce new technologies such as more
streamlined and intelligent manufacturing processes, automated storage and
retrieval systems (ASRS), and autonomous distribution systems to increase
performance.
Outlook for the Capital Markets Sector:
Private equity real estate funds and
Asia-based institutional investors will continue to drive demand in the
investment market.
Rising long-term interest rates will put
downward pressure on yields, which will be offset by strong cross-border
capital flows. In 2018, prime yields will remain relatively stable, with
expansion and compression restricted to a range of 10-15 basis points and
limited to a few markets.
Outlook for the Office Sector:
In 2018, demand will remain stable, owing
to strong leasing operation in India and the upgrading of facilities in Japan.
The financial and technology sectors will
continue to be the primary drivers of office leasing demand.
Grade Level Change India and China are
expected to dominate the office supply, which is expected to reach a record
peak of over 60 million sq. ft., up 26% from 2017.
Restricted Grade A rental growth is
expected in 15 major markets, with a growth rate of around / less than 2%
expected. Singapore and Sydney will lead the way in terms of development, while
Tokyo and Shenzhen will see the start of a rental downward cycle due to
oversupply.
Outlook for the Retail Industry:
Retail sales are expected to continue to
expand in tandem with e-commerce.
Consumer awareness and the wellness trend
will drive health & fitness demand from sporting goods retailers, wellness
centers, and gyms, while F&B and entertainment-oriented retailers will lead
demand.
In 2018, rental growth is expected to slow.
Prime properties will be the key drivers of development, with lower-quality
assets expected to struggle.
Prospects for the Industrial and Logistics
Sectors:
The e-commerce industry's continued growth
will fuel strong demand for logistics space in 2018. Quality expansion and
relocation activities are expected to increase in China, Tokyo, and Seoul.
China's tier I cities, as well as Melbourne
and Auckland, will drive regional logistics rental development.
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