Technology is forcing significant changes in Asia's commercial markets.
In 2018, APAC real estate funds and institutional investors are expected to lead investment activity.
According to CBRE's 2018 Asia Pacific Real Estate Market
Outlook Report, the commercial real estate market in Asia Pacific will be
increasingly characterized by evolving business conditions, technological
innovation's rising impact, and occupiers' demand for a better user experience.
Investors can refine their investment strategies to best take advantage of
evolving occupier demands in the area as a result of strong market changes. تنزيلات
"With the age of yield compression coming to an end,
income growth is expected to become the primary driver of capital growth.
Investors would need to employ strategies that take advantage of rising rental
cycles in specific markets while also reinforcing an emphasis on asset
management as a means of boosting rental income "CBRE Asia Pacific's Chief
Executive Officer, Steve Swerdlow, said.
As a result of changing market conditions, CBRE expects
occupiers to continue to reconfigure office portfolios to include a mix of core
premises (owned or leased) and flexible accommodation (co-working or shared) in
2018. Companies will concentrate on more advanced organizational design and
management in their core premises, such as incorporating Activity-based Working
and providing fitness facilities and other amenities, with user experience as
the next major workplace trend. Companies will increasingly use co-working space
in the realm of open space due to the versatility it provides in terms of lease
terms and duration, as well as cost savings and opportunities for collaboration
and innovation.
In addition, the adoption of technological advances in the
workplace will continue to gain traction. As the battle for talent heats up,
the workplace and customer interface will play a bigger role in businesses'
efforts to recruit and retain top talent.
"In the business environment of the country, the power
balance is changing. Companies are incorporating more versatility and agility
into their corporate real estate strategies to ensure that they can react
quickly to a constantly evolving external climate. As a result of broader
market changes, user experience in the workplace and as a customer will play a
more influential role and become a more prominent priority for occupiers
"CBRE Asia Pacific's Head of Research, Dr Henry Chin, said.
The retail sector in the area will continue to undergo
significant structural changes. According to CBRE, rivalry between offline and
online marketplaces is leveling off, as retailers see opportunities to gain a
competitive edge by developing and implementing successful omni-channel
strategies. Increasing the use of technology, such as click-and-collect
services and the distribution of in-store transactions, is one example.
Alternative models, such as pop-up shops or festivals, as
well as flagship stores with experiential elements, will become more critical
factors for retailers in attracting customers. Landlords will place a greater
emphasis on retailtainment and attracting high-impact tenants who can boost
foot traffic and generate publicity.
As a result, third-party logistics and online retailers
would profit from retailers' embrace of omni-channel strategies. Operating
scale is important for e-commerce companies as they continue to grow to new
locations in order to gain market share. Leading e-commerce companies in China
are seeking backwards integration by assuming control of their logistics and
distribution operations.
Increasing customer demand for faster delivery times is
expected to increase the importance of last-mile delivery and increase the
demand for urban logistics space. Increased competition would force logistics
occupiers to introduce new technologies such as more streamlined and
intelligent manufacturing processes, automated storage and retrieval systems
(ASRS), and autonomous distribution systems to increase performance.
Outlook for the Capital Markets Sector:
Private equity real estate funds and Asia-based
institutional investors will continue to drive demand in the investment market.
Rising long-term interest rates will put downward pressure
on yields, which will be offset by strong cross-border capital flows. In 2018,
prime yields will remain relatively stable, with expansion and compression
restricted to a range of 10-15 basis points and limited to a few markets.
Outlook for the Office Sector:
In 2018, demand will remain stable, owing to strong leasing
operation in India and the upgrading of facilities in Japan.
The financial and technology sectors will continue to be the
primary drivers of office leasing demand.
Grade Level Change India and China are expected to dominate
the office supply, which is expected to reach a record peak of over 60 million
sq. ft., up 26% from 2017.
Restricted Grade A rental growth is expected in 15 major
markets, with a growth rate of around / less than 2% expected. Singapore and
Sydney will lead the way in terms of development, while Tokyo and Shenzhen will
see the start of a rental downward cycle due to oversupply.
Outlook for the Retail Industry:
Retail sales are expected to continue to expand in tandem
with e-commerce.
Consumer awareness and the wellness trend will drive health
& fitness demand from sporting goods retailers, wellness centers, and gyms,
while F&B and entertainment-oriented retailers will lead demand.
In 2018, rental growth is expected to slow. Prime properties
will be the key drivers of development, with lower-quality assets expected to
struggle.
Prospects for the Industrial and Logistics Sectors:
The e-commerce industry's continued growth will fuel strong
demand for logistics space in 2018. Quality expansion and relocation activities
are expected to increase in China, Tokyo, and Seoul.
China's tier I cities, as well as Melbourne and Auckland,
will drive regional logistics rental development.
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